An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean

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cepal.bibLevelDocumento Completo
cepal.callNumberLC/CAR/L.394
cepal.docTypeDocumentos de proyectos e investigación
cepal.jobNumberLCCARL394_en
cepal.physicalDescriptiontablas
cepal.regionalOfficePuerto España
cepal.topicEngCLIMATE CHANGE
cepal.topicSpaCAMBIO CLIMÁTICO
cepal.workareaEngSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND HUMAN SETTLEMENTS
cepal.workareaSpaDESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE Y ASENTAMIENTOS HUMANOS
dc.contributor.authorMoore, Winston
dc.contributor.authorGomes, Charmaine
dc.contributor.authorAlleyne, Dillon
dc.contributor.authorPhillips, Willard
dc.contributor.institutionAustralian AID
dc.coverage.spatialEngCARIBBEAN REGION
dc.coverage.spatialSpaCARIBE
dc.date.accessioned2015-06-15T16:36:14Z
dc.date.available2015-06-15T16:36:14Z
dc.date.issued2013-02
dc.description.abstractThere are significant, fundamental changes taking place in global air and sea surface temperatures and sea levels. The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change noted that many of the warmest years on the instrumental record of global surface temperatures have occurred within the last twelve years, i.e. 1995-2006 (IPCC, 2007). The Caribbean tourism product is particularly vulnerable to climate change. On the demand side, mitigation measures in other countries – for example, measures to reduce the consumption of fossil fuels – could have implications for airfares and cruise prices and, therefore, for the demand for travel, particularly to long-haul destinations such as the Caribbean (Clayton, 2009). On the supply side, sea level rise will cause beaches to disappear and damage coastal resorts. Changes in the frequency and severity of hurricanes are likely to magnify that damage. Other indirect impacts on the tourism product include rising insurance premiums and competition for water resources (Cashman, Cumberbatch, & Moore, 2012). The present report has used information on historic and future Caribbean climate data to calculate that the Caribbean tourism climatic index (TCI) ranges from −20 (impossible) to +100 (ideal). In addition to projections for the Caribbean, the report has produced TCI projections for the New York City area (specifically, Central Park), which have been used as comparators for Caribbean country projections. The conditions in the source market provide a benchmark against which visitors may judge their experience in the tourism destination. The historical and forecasted TCIs for the Caribbean under both the A2 and B2 climate scenarios of the IPCC suggest that climatic conditions in the Caribbean are expected to deteriorate, and are likely to become less conducive to tourism. More specifically, the greatest decline in the TCI is likely to occur during the northern hemisphere summer months from May to September. At the same time, the scenario analysis indicates that home conditions during the traditional tourist season (December – April) are likely to improve, which could make it more attractive for visitors from these markets to consider ‘staycations’ as an alternative to overseas trips.
dc.description.tableOfContents.--I. Introduction.--II. Review of the literature.--III. Methodology.--IV. Results.--V. Conclusions and recommendations.
dc.formatTexto
dc.format.extent40 páginas.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.unSymbolLC/CAR/L.394
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11362/38282
dc.language.isoeng
dc.physicalDescription40 p.: tables, figures.
dc.publisherECLAC
dc.publisher.placePort-of-Spain
dc.rights.coarDisponible
dc.subject.unbisEngSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject.unbisEngCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject.unbisEngTOURISM DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject.unbisEngCOST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
dc.subject.unbisEngTOURISM
dc.subject.unbisEngECONOMIC RESEARCH
dc.subject.unbisEngSOCIAL RESEARCH
dc.subject.unbisEngECONOMIC ASPECTS
dc.subject.unbisEngSOCIAL ASPECTS
dc.subject.unbisSpaDESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE
dc.subject.unbisSpaCAMBIO CLIMATICO
dc.subject.unbisSpaFOMENTO DEL TURISMO
dc.subject.unbisSpaANALISIS COSTO-BENEFICIO
dc.subject.unbisSpaTURISMO
dc.subject.unbisSpaINVESTIGACION ECONOMICA
dc.subject.unbisSpaINVESTIGACION SOCIAL
dc.subject.unbisSpaASPECTOS ECONOMICOS
dc.subject.unbisSpaASPECTOS SOCIALES
dc.titleAn assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the tourism sector in the Caribbean
dc.type.coarlibro
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Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones)