An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Aruba

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An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Aruba

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In this study, an attempt is made to assess the economic impact of climate change on Aruba. This study has three main objectives. The first is to examine the factors that influence the demand and supply of tourism in Aruba. The second is to forecast the cost of climate change to the tourism sector until 2050 under the A2 and B2 climate scenarios with the Business as Usual (BAU) as a comparator climate scenario, and the third is to estimate the cost of adaptation and mitigation strategies that can be undertaken by Aruba to address climate change in the tourism sector.


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.--I. Intoduction.--II. Stylized facts on Aruba.--III. Review of the.--IV. Methodology for analysis.--V. Modelling tourism demand in Aruba.--VI. Data.--VII. Econometric methodology.-- VIII. Results of demand analysis.--IX. Forcasting the cost of climate change for Aruba on tourism demand.--X. Forcasting results.--XI. Approaches to mitigation and adaptation in the tourism sector.--XII. Conclusion and recommendations.

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