Expectations and industrial output in Uruguay: Sectoral interdependence and common trends

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cepal.accesible54407
cepal.articleNo6
cepal.bibLevelSección o Parte de un Documento
cepal.callNumberLC/G.2614-P
cepal.docTypeRevistas
cepal.jelCodeE32
cepal.jelCodeD84
cepal.jelCodeC32
cepal.jobNumberRVI113Lanzilotta_en
cepal.physicalDescriptiongráficos., tablas.
cepal.regionalOfficeSantiago
cepal.topicEngPRODUCTIVITY
cepal.topicSpaPRODUCTIVIDAD
cepal.workareaEngECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
cepal.workareaSpaDESARROLLO ECONÓMICO
dc.contributor.authorLanzilotta M., Bibiana
dc.coverage.spatialEngURUGUAY
dc.coverage.spatialSpaURUGUAY
dc.date.accessioned2014-12-10T13:21:57Z
dc.date.available2014-12-10T13:21:57Z
dc.date.issued2014-08
dc.description.abstractThis paper examines the interdependence between expectations and growth by analysing Uruguayan manufacturing industry, divided for the purpose into four industry groupings differentiated by trade participation and production specialization. The study shows that there is a long-run relationship between industrialists' expectations and output growth in each grouping. In the most trade-oriented groupings the relationship is one of predetermination, showing how useful expectations are as a guide to sectoral growth. Expectations in the four industrial groupings are shown to follow a common long-run trend, identified with the one guiding the export grouping. Impulse-response simulations derived from a multisectoral vector autoregression (VAR) model confirm the important role of the industries most exposed to international competition in spreading shorter-term shocks.
dc.formatTexto
dc.format.extentpáginas. 89-11
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.unSymbolLC/G.2614-P
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11362/37422
dc.language.isoeng
dc.physicalDescriptionp. 89-114; grafs., tabls.
dc.relation.isPartOfCEPAL Review
dc.relation.isPartOfNo113
dc.relation.isPartOfSeriesCEPAL Review
dc.relation.translationLanguagespa
dc.relation.translationRecordExpectativas y producción industrial en el Uruguay: interdependencia sectorial y tendencias comunes
dc.relation.translationUrihttps://hdl.handle.net/11362/36961
dc.rights.coarDisponible
dc.subject.unbisEngINDUSTRY
dc.subject.unbisEngMANUFACTURES
dc.subject.unbisEngINDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject.unbisEngPRODUCTION SPECIALIZATION
dc.subject.unbisEngINDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
dc.subject.unbisEngECONOMETRIC MODELS
dc.subject.unbisSpaINDUSTRIA
dc.subject.unbisSpaPRODUCTOS MANUFACTURADOS
dc.subject.unbisSpaDESARROLLO INDUSTRIAL
dc.subject.unbisSpaESPECIALIZACION DE LA PRODUCCION
dc.subject.unbisSpaPRODUCCION INDUSTRIAL
dc.subject.unbisSpaMODELOS ECONOMETRICOS
dc.titleExpectations and industrial output in Uruguay: Sectoral interdependence and common trends
dc.type.coarartículo
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationaa706446-4ed5-4c47-85c3-e1ab0dfe79ad
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryaa706446-4ed5-4c47-85c3-e1ab0dfe79ad
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