Impact of the peace negotiations in Colombia on real GDP, 2013–2019

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cepal.articleNo8
cepal.bibLevelSección o Parte de un Documento
cepal.callNumberLC/PUB.2025/1-P
cepal.docTypeRevistas
cepal.jelCodeC01
cepal.jelCodeN4
cepal.jelCodeO1
cepal.jelCodeO5
cepal.jobNumber08martin_REV-145E
cepal.physicalDescriptiongráficos, tablas.
cepal.regionalOfficeSantiago
cepal.sdg1
cepal.sdg16
cepal.topicEngECONOMIC GROWTH
cepal.topicEngSOCIAL COHESION
cepal.topicEngDEMOCRACY
cepal.topicSpaCRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO
cepal.topicSpaCOHESIÓN SOCIAL
cepal.topicSpaDEMOCRACIA
cepal.workareaEngECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
cepal.workareaSpaDESARROLLO ECONÓMICO
dc.contributor.authorMartín Mayoral, Fernando
dc.contributor.authorRivera Lasso, Carlos Andrés
dc.coverage.spatialEngCOLOMBIA
dc.coverage.spatialSpaCOLOMBIA
dc.coverage.temporalEnd2019
dc.coverage.temporalStart2013
dc.date.accessioned2025-08-22T13:35:52Z
dc.date.available2025-08-22T13:35:52Z
dc.date.issued2025-04
dc.description.abstractThe peace negotiations between the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia –People’s Army and the Government of Colombia, which began in late 2012 and concluded with the signing of the Final Agreement for Ending the Conflict and Building a Stable and Lasting Peace in 2016, sought to bring an end to decades of violence, loss of life, destruction of infrastructure and social fragmentation. This study uses the synthetic control method proposed by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003) and Abadie, Diamond and Hainmueller (2010) to assess the impact of the Agreement on Colombia’s real per capita GDP growth, taking into account economic, demographic and institutional factors. The main findings indicate that Colombia has registered higher growth rates than its synthetic counterpart since 2013, reflecting a shift in the expectations of economic agents from the outset of the peace process.
dc.formatTexto
dc.format.extentpáginas 147-1165
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.unSymbolLC/PUB.2025/1-P
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11362/82410
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherECLAC
dc.publisher.placeSantiago
dc.relation.isPartOfSeriesCEPAL Review
dc.relation.isPartOfSeriesNo145
dc.relation.translationLanguagespa
dc.relation.translationRecordImpacto de las negociaciones de paz en Colombia en el PIB real, 2013-2019
dc.relation.translationUrihttps://hdl.handle.net/11362/81884
dc.rights.coarDisponible
dc.subject.unbisEngPEACE AGREEMENTS
dc.subject.unbisEngARMED CONFLICTS
dc.subject.unbisEngECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subject.unbisEngGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subject.unbisSpaACUERDOS DE PAZ
dc.subject.unbisSpaCONFLICTOS ARMADOS
dc.subject.unbisSpaCRECIMIENTO ECONOMICO
dc.subject.unbisSpaPRODUCTO INTERNO BRUTO
dc.titleImpact of the peace negotiations in Colombia on real GDP, 2013–2019
dc.type.coarartículo
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationc0eb037a-c200-4175-965c-88340c2c842f
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione3bb4c21-2893-44ee-9877-b0b8d391c888
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryc0eb037a-c200-4175-965c-88340c2c842f
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