Quantitative assessment of a free trade agreement between MERCOSUR and the European Union

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cepal.bibLevelDocumento Completo
cepal.callNumberINT UN/ES 45(69/2010)
cepal.callNumberLC/L.3158-P
cepal.divisionEngStatistics Division
cepal.divisionOldDivisión de Estadística y Proyecciones Económicas
cepal.divisionSpaDivisión de Estadísticas
cepal.docTypeSeries
cepal.idSade41551
cepal.jobNumberS0900815 E
cepal.physicalDescriptiongráficos, tablas
cepal.regionalOfficeSantiago
cepal.saleNumber09.II.G.131
cepal.topicEngTRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES
cepal.topicEngINTERNATIONAL TRADE
cepal.topicEngMONITORING OF INTERNATIONAL/REGIONAL AGREEMENTS
cepal.topicEngTRADE POLICY AND TRADE AGREEMENTS
cepal.topicSpaCOMERCIO DE BIENES Y SERVICIOS
cepal.topicSpaCOMERCIO INTERNACIONAL
cepal.topicSpaMONITOREO DE ACUERDOS INTERNACIONALES/REGIONALES
cepal.topicSpaPOLÍTICA COMERCIAL Y ACUERDOS COMERCIALES
cepal.workareaEngINTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INTEGRATION
cepal.workareaEngSTATISTICS
cepal.workareaSpaCOMERCIO INTERNACIONAL E INTEGRACIÓN
cepal.workareaSpaESTADÍSTICAS
dc.contributor.authorBoyer, Ivan
dc.contributor.authorSchuschny, Andrés Ricardo
dc.date.accessioned2014-01-02T15:33:05Z
dc.date.available2014-01-02T15:33:05Z
dc.date.issued2010-04
dc.descriptionIncluye Bibliografía
dc.description.abstractAbstractUsing a GTAP CGE model/database, this paper assesses the possible effects of a free trade agreement (FTA); between the MERCOSUR and the European Union (EU);. The study takes into consideration the most important recent free trade agreements signed among the Latin American countries, as well as the latest European Union enlargements. With a 2004+ benchmark base scenario where tariffs were updated by the addition of information on trade agreements just signed by Latin American countries, two different policy simulations are addressed: (i); full liberalization, (ii); liberalization excluding sensitive products. The global CGE model allows analyzing direct and indirect socio-economic impacts on subscriber countries as well as on other countries in the region.From the point of view of the MERCOSUR countries, the results suggest that the FTA would be beneficial to foster their exports, especially in the case of Light manufactures. Imports to MERCOSUR from the EU would be increased, particularly in heavy manufactures sectors. In terms of GDP the results remain positive in the case of all the MERCOSUR countries in all simulated scenarios. However, welfare implications are unevenly distributed in favor of all the MERCOSUR countries in the simulated scenarios. The inclusion of sensitive products in the agreements seems to reduce the magnitude of the results but does not change the direction of the impacts. In any case, active public policies to mitigate the negative effects on sectors, enhance positive impacts and seize dynamic opportunities towards sustainable development must be undertaken. The main conclusion points out a potential complementary trade relationship among these two regions.
dc.formatTexto
dc.format.extent74 páginas.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.isbn9789211217285
dc.identifier.unSymbolLC/L.3158-P
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11362/4774
dc.language.isoeng
dc.physicalDescription74 p. : gráfs., tabls.
dc.publisherECLAC
dc.publisher.placeSantiago
dc.relation.isPartOfSeriesSerie Estudios Estadísticos y Prospectivos
dc.relation.isPartOfSeriesNo69
dc.rights.coarDisponible
dc.subject.unbisEngTREATIES
dc.subject.unbisEngFREE TRADE
dc.subject.unbisEngMERCOSUR
dc.subject.unbisEngEUROPEAN UNION
dc.subject.unbisEngECONOMIC ANALYSIS
dc.subject.unbisEngEVALUATION
dc.subject.unbisEngTRADE IN SERVICES
dc.subject.unbisSpaTRATADOS
dc.subject.unbisSpaLIBRE COMERCIO
dc.subject.unbisSpaMERCOSUR
dc.subject.unbisSpaUNION EUROPEA
dc.subject.unbisSpaANALISIS ECONOMICO
dc.subject.unbisSpaEVALUACION
dc.subject.unbisSpaCOMERCIO DE SERVICIOS
dc.titleQuantitative assessment of a free trade agreement between MERCOSUR and the European Union
dc.type.coarlibro
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